Monitoring 10 countries daily

Middle East risk intelligence, updated every day

AI-powered geopolitical risk scoring for corporate decision-makers. Daily assessments across 10 countries, transparent methodology, calibrated probabilities.

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Current Risk Assessment Live
01Yemen
73
02Syria
68
03Iran
61
04Israel
58
05Saudi Arabia
34
06Jordan
31
07United Arab Emirates
22
08Kuwait
19
09Qatar
16
10Oman
14

Political risk intelligence is broken

Corporate teams operating in the Middle East face impossible decisions with inadequate tools.

01

Prohibitively expensive

Top-tier advisory firms charge $50,000 to $200,000 or more per year. Most mid-market companies operate without structured risk intelligence.

02

Updated quarterly, not daily

Traditional risk reports arrive on quarterly cycles. In a region where a single event can reshape shipping routes overnight, quarterly is dangerously slow.

03

Breadth without depth

Global platforms covering 198 countries cannot match the granularity needed to differentiate between Gulf state risk profiles. Regional expertise requires regional focus.

Six data layers, one daily score

Our AI pipeline processes conflict data, news, sanctions, economics, cyber threats, and nuclear signals every morning.

1

Conflict data ingestion

Armed conflict events scored for intensity, civilian targeting, and escalation patterns.

ACLED
2

10-factor risk model

Each country assessed across 10 weighted structural risk factors with transparent methodology.

Proprietary
3

News intelligence

AI reads and analyzes hundreds of articles daily, scoring each for risk relevance and factor attribution.

Claude AI
4

Live factor enrichment

Sanctions lists, economic indicators, cyber threats, and nuclear monitoring update five factors automatically.

OFAC · World Bank · CISA
5

Signal blending

Calibrated hybrid formula blends model scores, news intelligence, and priors with dynamic data-freshness weighting.

AUC 0.720
6

Delivered to you

Risk scores, trend analysis, factor breakdowns, and configurable alerts delivered before your first meeting.

Daily 06:00 UTC

Transparent risk factors

Unlike black-box competitors, we publish exactly what drives each score and how much each factor weighs.

23%Active Conflict
18%External Threat
9%Proxy Networks
9%Regional ContagionLive
8%Cyber ThreatLive
7%Nuclear / WMDLive
7%Sanctions PressureLive
7%Regime InstabilityLive
7%Economic CrisisLive
5%Strategic Geography

Built differently

Daily, not quarterly

Risk scores update every day from live conflict databases, sanctions lists, economic indicators, and cyber threat feeds. You see changes as they happen.

AI-powered analysis

Large language model reads hundreds of articles daily and scores each for geopolitical risk relevance. Context-aware comprehension, not keyword matching.

Open methodology

Published factor weights, data sources, and calibration statistics. You can interrogate any score and understand exactly what drives it.

Middle East specialist

Ten countries covered at a depth that global platforms cannot match. Cross-border contagion tracking between linked states captures cascading risk.

Calibrated probabilities

Backtested against 220 historical observations across 39 quarters. Published AUC of 0.720 and 1.5% calibration gap in the dominant probability bin.

Accessible pricing

Enterprise-grade intelligence without the enterprise contract. Starting from $199 per month for individual analysts.

Plans for every stage

Early-access pricing available for founding members.

Analyst
$199 / mo
For individual analysts and researchers
  • Daily risk dashboard
  • All 10 country scores
  • News intelligence feed
  • Single country deep-dive
  • Email support
Get started
Enterprise
Custom
For large organizations
  • Everything in Professional
  • API access and data feeds
  • Up to 10 user seats
  • Quarterly methodology review
  • Custom reporting
  • Dedicated support
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See your risk landscape

A personalized demo with live risk scores for the countries that matter to your operations.