Chokepoint disruption probability, price-impact modelling, and facility exposure analysis — updated daily.
Real-time assessment of whether each critical chokepoint is passable or blocked, with immediate action recommendations.
Confidence intervals and probabilistic forecasts for disruption at Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and Suez, updated daily.
Quantified $/bbl price premium calculations for each disruption scenario and geopolitical risk event.
Geospatial analysis of drone, missile, and weapon system range to critical oil and gas infrastructure.
Optimized shipping routes with risk-weighted costs, transit times, and contingency alternatives for each market.
Early warning signals for LNG facility shutdowns, sanctions impacts, and weather-related disruptions.
| Country | Industry-Weighted Risk Score | Risk Level | Details |
|---|---|---|---|
The world's most critical chokepoint. Separation of Iran and Oman at 33 miles. Home to constant military presence and historical incidents.
Narrow passage between Yemen and Djibouti. Recent Houthi attacks have disrupted shipping. Controls access to Red Sea and Suez.
Critical link between Europe and Asia. Single-lane passage 300 meters wide. Susceptible to accidents, blockages, and political tensions.
| Route Option | Transit Time | Risk Level | Cost Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (Hormuz) | 4.5 days | Moderate | Baseline |
| Cape of Good Hope (bypass) | 18 days | Low | +12-15% |
| Proposed Alternative (RTM) | 6.2 days | Low-Medium | +4-6% |
Join leading energy companies relying on Cyrus for real-time chokepoint risk, price impact modelling, and facility exposure analysis.